Kurilpa peninsula (South Brisbane, West End & Highgate Hill) was fortunate to be part of the South Brisbane Transport and Mobility Study, which provided projections for population growth in each of the suburbs. By comparing these estimates with the last three census results residents and those coming to Kurilpa will have some data to compare with their lived experience.
- For the whole of Kurilpa the growth between 2016 and 2021 census tracked close to the average annual increase of the 2019 TAMS estimate. Though you will see in the suburb comparisons below that wasn’t even.
- The average yearly growth to reach the 2036 forecast is only 73% of the average 2016/19 actual. The number of high rise dwellings currently in build suggests this can happen.
- This begs the question how will a constrained geography and facilities cope. Schools, hospitals, roads and recreation space.
- There are many aspects to density, in particular when the population is on a peninsula that is also part of a major transit zones.
- Comparison with near suburbs show West End and South Brisbane are more than carrying their weight in catering for the city’s population growth.
- As 2022 has again shown, significant areas of constructed dwellings and potential building sites are subject to flood or inundation.
- If these densities are even partly likely, is it reasonable to expect the land form to hold these population volumes in a liveable way.
- The Montague Rd Corridor is the area bounded by Hardgrave Rd, Banks and Peel streets down to the river.
- As part of our focus on Montague road we mapped all the businesses located in the vicinity of the whole length of throughfare.
- It is clear the area has a solid base of Arts and Creatives as well as business and organisations to support our lifestyle.
- This also lets us reflect on what may be needed to improve choice in the area.
- We opted not to use the ABS categories as many only would be 1 or 2 businesses.
- Here we see that the 2019 TAMS average increase held but the average yearly increase out to 2036 is approximately 65% that actual.
- With some 1400 units currently proposed and due for completion, that growth is on track to the mid 2020’s
- As with West End we see the actual growth from 2016 to 2021 trends with the TAMS 2019 estimates.
- The average yearly growth to reach the 2036 TAMS forecast is about 70% of the 2016/21 average.
- It is still 970 odd people a year, meaning 450 plus two person dwellings
- The Highgate is such a different picture. The TAMS 2019 estimate was 13% below the mark.
- The 2036 estimate was only for 4.4% further growth, compared to 93% for West End and 285% for South Brisbane.
- To reach the 2036 estimate an average of 82 people a year could easily be reached by a minor change to the number of people per dwelling.
KURILPA FUTURES 